First Trust Consumer Etf Performance

FXD Etf  USD 68.83  0.43  0.62%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.22, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, First Trust will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Consumer are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
1
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First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,544  in First Trust Consumer on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  339.00  from holding First Trust Consumer or generate 5.18% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Consumer is generating 0.0882% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.1658% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 10% of etfs are less volatile than First, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust is expected to generate 1.57 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.57 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Consumer extending back to May 10, 2007. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 68.83, as last reported on the 1st of February, with the highest price reaching 68.95 and the lowest price hitting 68.36 during the day.
3 y Volatility
20.84
200 Day MA
65.5413
1 y Volatility
16.88
50 Day MA
68.8488
Inception Date
2007-05-08
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 68.83 90 days 68.83 
about 38.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 38.8 (This First Trust Consumer probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, First Trust will likely underperform. Additionally First Trust Consumer has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Consumer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.7368.9070.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.2968.4669.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.0867.2568.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
67.8370.2972.75
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Consumer, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.22
σ
Overall volatility
2.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Consumer can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance

By analyzing First Trust's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Trust's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The fund will normally invest at least 90 percent of its net assets in the common stocks that comprise the index. Consumer Disc is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
When determining whether First Trust Consumer is a strong investment it is important to analyze First Trust's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact First Trust's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding First Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Consumer. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
The market value of First Trust Consumer is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Trust's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because First Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, First Trust's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.